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5/9/2008

"A chart is worth a thousand words of high fallutin' economic mumbo-jumbo"


UPDATED DAILY


 

The BullandBearWise Index of economic and market indicators:

Growth
 
Gross Domestic Product
   Non-Farm Productivity
   Non-Manufacturing ISM
Labor
   Initial Jobless Claims
   Unemployment Rate
Commodity
   CRB Index
   London Gold
   Sweet Crude
Consumer
   Consumer Credit
   Personal Income
   Retail Sales
Manufacturing
   Capacity Utilization
   Durable Goods
   Factory Orders
   Industrial Production
   Manufacturing ISM

Inflation
   Agricultural Prices
   Consumer Price Index
   Producer Price Index
Financial
   S&P 500 Index
   S&P 500 P/E Ratio
   DJIA/S&P 500 Divergence
   Advance Decline Ratio
   Money - Zero Maturity
   Officer Loan Survey
   U.S. Treasury Yields 
   Volatility Index (VIX)
Investment
   Housing Market Index (HMI)
   Housing Starts
   New Homes Sales
Trade
   Dollar Cash Index
   Trade Balance

Other areas of interest at BullandBearWise:

Federal Reserve
   Balance Requirements
   Federal Funds
   Federal Funds Target Divergence
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Foreign Custody Holdings
   Money Supply
   Money Supply Rate of Change
   Non-Borrowed Reserves
   Securities Lending & POMO
   System Open market Account
   Temporary Open Market Balance
   Temporary Open Market Operations
      Domestic Operations 2003 Report

U.S. Debt
   Debt By Instrument
   Debt Ownership
   Debt and GDP

   Foreign Treasury Purchases

   Statutory Debt Limit
   Tax Collections
   Treasury Borrowings

At Issue
   Currency Growth
   Dollar versus Oil and Gold
   Fed Funds Futures
   Federal Reserve Foreign Custody Holdings
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Gold BullMarkets
   Gold Fear Index
   Government Deficits
   Home Equity
   Household Debt Burden
   Mortgage Debt
   NASDAQ 2000 vs. Dow 1929
   S&P 500 Reported vs Operating Earnings
   Velocity of Money
   Yield Curve Since 1869

BullandBearWise Management
   BullandBearWise Management

BullandBearWise
Index

34.33

The BullandBearWise Index weights economic and market indicators from 0 (bearish) to 100 (bullish).

Calendar

5/9

Trade Balance

5/13

Retail Sales

5/14

CPI

5/15

Capacity Utilization

5/15

Industrial Production

5/15

Initial Jobless Claims

TODAY'S THOUGHT
Are we in a recession? A recession is defined as two quarters at below zero in Gross Domestic Product. Not so far.

5/8/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 8 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
May 7 Consumer Credit Bullish Bullish No change
May 7 Non-Farm Productivity Bearish Bullish +1
May 5 Officer Loan Survey Bearish Bearish No change
May 5 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 5/9/2008 Net change

+3

5/2/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 2 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bullish +3
May 2 Factory Orders Bearish Bullish +1
May 1 Agricultural Prices Bearish Bullish +1
May 1 Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change
May 1 Personal Income Bullish Bearish -2
May 1 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Apr 30 GDP -Advance Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 5/2/2008 Net change

+1

4/25/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Apr 24 Durable Goods Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 24 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Apr 21 Housing Market Index Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 21 Money - Zero Maturity Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 4/25/2008 Net change

+2

4/18/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Apr 17 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Apr 16 Housing Starts Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 16 CPI Bullish Bearish -3
Apr 16 Capacity Utilization Bearish Bullish +2
Apr 16 Industrial Production Bearish Bullish +3
Apr 15 PPI Bullish Bearish -2
Apr 14 Retail Sales Bearish Bullish +3

Week of 4/18/2008 Net change

+1

4/10/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Apr 10 Trade Balance Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 10 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Apr 7 Consumer Credit Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 4/11/2008 Net change

+2

4/4/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Apr 4 Unemployment Rate Bullish Bearish -3
Apr 3 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change
Apr 3 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Apr 2 Factory Orders Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 1 Agricultural Prices Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 1 Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 4/4/2008 Net change

-5

3/28/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Mar 28 Personal Income Bearish Bullish +2
Mar 27 GDP -Revised Bearish Bearish No change
Mar 27 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Mar 26 New Home Sales Bearish Bearish No change
Mar 26 Durable Goods Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 3/28/2008 Net change

+4

3/20/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Mar 20 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Mar 18 PPI Bullish Bullish No change
Mar 18 Housing Market Index Bullish Bullish No change
Mar 18 Housing Starts Bearish Bearish No change
Mar 17 Capacity Utilization Bearish Bearish No change
Mar 17 Industrial Production Bearish Bearish No change
Mar 17 Money - Zero Maturity Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 3/21/2008 Net change

-2

3/14/2008

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Mar 14 CPI Bearish Bullish +3
Mar 13 Retail Sales Bullish Bearish -3
Mar 13 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
Mar 11 Trade Balance Bullish Bearish -3

Week of 3/14/2008 Net change

-3

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