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UPDATED DAILY

7/4/2009


 

The BullandBearWise Index of economic and market indicators:

Growth
 
Gross Domestic Product
   Non-Farm Productivity
   Non-Manufacturing ISM
Labor
   Initial Jobless Claims
   Unemployment Rate
Commodity
   CRB Index
   London Gold
   Sweet Crude
Consumer
   Consumer Credit
   Personal Income
   Retail Sales
Manufacturing
   Capacity Utilization
   Durable Goods
   Factory Orders
   Industrial Production
   Manufacturing ISM

Inflation
   Agricultural Prices
   Consumer Price Index
   Producer Price Index
Financial
   S&P 500 Index
   S&P 500 P/E Ratio
   DJIA/S&P 500 Divergence
   Advance Decline Ratio
   Money - Zero Maturity
   Officer Loan Survey
   U.S. Treasury Yields 
   Volatility Index (VIX)
Investment
   Housing Market Index (HMI)
   Housing Starts
   New Homes Sales
Trade
   Dollar Cash Index
   Trade Balance

Other areas of interest at BullandBearWise:

Federal Reserve
   Balance Requirements
   Federal Funds
   Federal Funds Target Divergence
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Foreign Custody Holdings
   Money Supply
   Money Supply Rate of Change
   Non-Borrowed Reserves
   Securities Lending & POMO
   System Open market Account
   Temporary Open Market Balance
   Temporary Open Market Operations
      Domestic Operations 2008 Report

U.S. Debt
   Debt By Instrument
   Debt Ownership
   Debt and GDP

   Foreign Treasury Purchases

   Statutory Debt Limit
   Tax Collections
   Treasury Borrowings

At Issue
   Currency Growth
   Dollar versus Oil and Gold
   Dow 1929 Comparison
   Federal Reserve Foreign Custody Holdings
   FOMC and the S&P 500
   Gold Fear Index
   Government Deficits
   Home Equity
   NASDAQ 100 Real Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE)
   Household Debt Burden
   Mortgage Debt
   NASDAQ 2000 vs. Dow 1929
   S&P 500 Reported vs Operating Earnings
   Velocity of Money
   Yield Curve Since 1869

BullandBearWise Management
   BullandBearWise Management

TODAY'S THOUGHT
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7/2/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jul 2 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bearish No change
Jul 2 Factory Orders Bullish Bullish No change
Jul 2 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Jul 1 Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 29 Agricultural Prices Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 7/3/2009 Net change

+2

6/26/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jun 26 Money - Zero Maturity Bearish Bearish No change
Jun 26 Personal Income Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 25 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
Jun 25 GDP -Final Bearish Bearish No change
Jun 24 New Home Sales Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 24 Durable Goods Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 6/26/2009 Net change

-2

6/19/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jun 18 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 17 CPI Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 16 Capacity Utilization Bearish Bearish No change
Jun 16 Industrial Production Bullish Bearish -3
Jun 16 PPI Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 16 Housing Starts Bearish Bullish +3

Week of 6/19/2009 Net change

No change

6/12/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jun 11 Retail Sales Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 11 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 10 Trade Balance Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 6/12/2009 Net change

No change

6/5/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

Jun 5 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bearish No change
Jun 4 Non-Farm Productivity Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 4 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 3 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change
Jun 3 Factory Orders Bearish Bullish +1
Jun 1 Personal Income Bearish Bullish +2
Jun 1 Agricultural Prices Bearish Bearish No change
Jun 1 Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 6/5/2009 Net change

+3

5/29/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 29 GDP -Revised Bearish Bearish No change
May 28 New Home Sales Bullish Bullish No change
May 28 Durable Goods Bearish Bullish +3
May 28 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 5/29/2009 Net change

+3

5/22/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 21 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
May 19 Housing Market Index Bullish Bullish No change
May 19 Housing Starts Bearish Bearish No change

Week of 5/22/2009 Net change

+2

5/15/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 15 Money - Zero Maturity Bullish Bearish -2
May 15 CPI Bullish Bullish No change
May 15 Capacity Utilization Bearish Bearish No change
May 15 Industrial Production Bearish Bullish +3
May 14 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bearish -2
May 14 PPI Bearish Bullish +2
May 13 Retail Sales Bearish Bullish +3
May 12 Trade Balance Bullish Bearish -3

Week of 5/15/2009 Net change

+1

5/8/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 8 Unemployment Rate Bearish Bearish No change
May 7 Consumer Credit Bearish Bearish No change
May 7 Non-Farm Productivity Bearish Bullish +1
May 7 Initial Jobless Claims Bullish Bullish No change
May 5 Non-Manufacturing ISM Bearish Bullish +2
May 4 Officer Loan Survey Bullish Bullish No change

Week of 5/8/2009 Net change

+3

5/1/2009

Date

Indicator

Prior release

Latest release

Weighted change

May 1 Agricultural Prices Bullish Bearish -1
May 1 Factory Orders Bullish Bearish -1
May 1 Manufacturing ISM Bullish Bullish No change
Apr 30 Personal Income Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 30 Initial Jobless Claims Bearish Bullish +2
Apr 29 GDP -Advance Bearish Bearish No change
Apr 28 Durable Goods Bullish Bearish -3

Week of 5/1/2009 Net change

-3

BullandBearWise
Index

61.19

The BullandBearWise Index weights economic and market indicators from 0 (bearish) to 100 (bullish).

Calendar

7/6

ISM Services

7/9

Initial Jobless Claims

7/10

Trade Balance

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